Carlo Masala is Professor of International Politics at Bundeswehr University Munich. He has an impressive CV with roles in Nato Defence College and Centre for Intelligence and Security Studies. This book is no amateur scare story.
Recent history has shown that predicting geopolitical events is a sphere into which the wise would be well advised not to venture. This however is a predicted scenario that is worthy of attention. The author takes us through a series of future events that follow Putin's predicted victory over Ukraine. These are the very events that all those who have lent support to Ukraine have feared. The Coalition of the Willing - those thirtyone countries who pledged support for Ukraine - seemed to be a committed body at its inception.
The book describes how largely domestic events overtake the earlier resolve that members of the Coalition held. How much does the Russian incursion into a small Estonian town matter ? What are the risks of escalation into WW3 if Russia is confronted ? Will this seemingly insignificant incursion be the end ? How much have the lessons from Hitler's pathway been learned ?
Russia's words represent a striking mismatch with its actions. Worryingly the mismatch of the words of the West with its deeds strike a chilling chord.
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